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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 08, 2017 23:37 
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Gogmagog

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https://twitter.com/politicshome/status ... 8511764482



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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:02 
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https://www.engadget.com/2017/02/13/son ... uk-brexit/

Sonos prices rising by up to 25% due to fall in GBP. Ouch.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:05 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
https://www.engadget.com/2017/02/13/sonos-price-hike-25-percent-uk-brexit/

Sonos prices rising by up to 25% due to fall in GBP. Ouch.

Whether it's the fall of the pound or capitalist opportunism it's still terrible for consumers.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:06 
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25% is a fucking huge jump.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:09 
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Grim... wrote:
25% is a fucking huge jump.

It's perfectly in line with the decline in GBP:USD though. That spent most of 2015/16 at about 1.55:1, and since the referendum it's been around 1.25:1. You're kidding yourself if you think retailers and manufacturers can afford to eat that sort of price movement on the vast array of consumer goods and foodstuffs we import.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:12 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Grim... wrote:
25% is a fucking huge jump.

It's perfectly in line with the decline in GBP:USD though. That spent most of 2015/16 at about 1.55:1, and since the referendum it's been around 1.25:1. You're kidding yourself if you think retailers and manufacturers can afford to eat that sort of price movement on the vast array of consumer goods and foodstuffs we import.

Of course they can, just their shareholders wouldn't allow it.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:14 
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Lonewolves wrote:
Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Grim... wrote:
25% is a fucking huge jump.

It's perfectly in line with the decline in GBP:USD though. That spent most of 2015/16 at about 1.55:1, and since the referendum it's been around 1.25:1. You're kidding yourself if you think retailers and manufacturers can afford to eat that sort of price movement on the vast array of consumer goods and foodstuffs we import.

Of course they can, just their shareholders wouldn't allow it.

What the fuck


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:15 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Lonewolves wrote:
Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Grim... wrote:
25% is a fucking huge jump.

It's perfectly in line with the decline in GBP:USD though. That spent most of 2015/16 at about 1.55:1, and since the referendum it's been around 1.25:1. You're kidding yourself if you think retailers and manufacturers can afford to eat that sort of price movement on the vast array of consumer goods and foodstuffs we import.

Of course they can, just their shareholders wouldn't allow it.

What the fuck

Oh no, their profits are slightly reduced. Cry me a river

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:19 
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Gogmagog

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Are you an anarcho-communist now?

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:19 
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Lonewolves wrote:
Oh no, their profits are slightly reduced. Cry me a river


That's a dumb attitude. Like, 'my first 14 year old marxist' dumb.
Firstly, their profits aren't slightly reduced. Electronics manufacturing doesn't have a 25% profit margin - so they'd most likely be making a loss.
Second, Sonos are one of many tech companies that have a pretty well established corporate charitable giving programme. If they're losing money on sales, how likely is it that they are able to keep up with funding charitable programmes?

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:20 
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Lonewolves wrote:
Oh no, their profits are slightly reduced. Cry me a river

On which planets does 25% count as "slightly reduced"? Would a 25% reduction in your salary count as "slightly reduced"?


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:23 
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Cras wrote:
Electronics manufacturing doesn't have a 25% profit margin - so they'd most likely be making a loss.

I think if anyone were going to run at > 25% it would be Sonos :)

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:23 
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SavyGamer

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I've forgotten where we're up to now, what possible ways are there that article 50 could not be triggered should May want to go ahead and do it?


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:24 
Filthy Junkie Bitch

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Also regardless of your view of free market capitalisation, telling a US company that they should make lower margins than planned because the UK made a dick move in the referendum and the currency tanked is a little ludicrous.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:25 
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It's not 25% reduction in pure profit though. It's profit minus operating costs and materials etc. Would be less.

They could eat it. Just get the directors to buy fewer Jags this week.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:25 
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LewieP wrote:
I've forgotten where we're up to now, what possible ways are there that article 50 could not be triggered should May want to go ahead and do it?

House of Lords amendments to the A50 bill, but I suspect sabre-rattling from the Commons about reform plus a lack of numbers in the upper House will ultimately defeat that. After that, nothing, I think.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:26 
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ApplePieOfDestiny wrote:
Also regardless of your view of free market capitalisation, telling a US company that they should make lower margins than planned because the UK made a dick move in the referendum and the currency tanked is a little ludicrous.

My view of free market capitalism is that I should be allowed to buy £450 speakers but people should not be allowed to sell £500 speakers.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:27 
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Lonewolves wrote:
It's not 25% reduction in pure profit though. It's profit minus operating costs and materials etc. Would be less.

They could eat it. Just get the directors to buy fewer Jags this week.

You're right. If sonos mark up is 33% on cost then losing 25% of revenues on fx translation is a 100% reduction in profit margin.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:29 
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ApplePieOfDestiny wrote:
Lonewolves wrote:
It's not 25% reduction in pure profit though. It's profit minus operating costs and materials etc. Would be less.

They could eat it. Just get the directors to buy fewer Jags this week.

You're right. If sonos mark up is 33% on cost then losing 25% of revenues on fx translation is a 100% reduction in profit margin.

That's fine. Companies don't need to grow. They could easily carry on being a company providing services at that level. I'm sure they have plenty of cash reserves.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:30 
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Mind you, considering myps employer I can understand why that calculation may not make sense. See also, autonomy.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:31 
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ApplePieOfDestiny wrote:
Mind you, considering myps employer I can understand why that calculation may not make sense. See also, autonomy.

Capitalism iz dum

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:31 
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Lonewolves wrote:
It's not 25% reduction in pure profit though. It's profit minus operating costs and materials etc. Would be less.

They could eat it. Just get the directors to buy fewer Jags this week.


What?! That's completely backwards. It's a 25% reduction in REVENUE. That's guaranteed to be a significantly higher hit to profits, likely making the product loss-making.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:35 
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Why would they "eat it" instead of just increasing prices and maintaining profitability?

Referendum voters and (most) politicians may be dead set on economic suicide, but there's no reason for foreign companies operating in/selling to the UK market to do the same.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:37 
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Cras wrote:
Lonewolves wrote:
It's not 25% reduction in pure profit though. It's profit minus operating costs and materials etc. Would be less.

They could eat it. Just get the directors to buy fewer Jags this week.


What?! That's completely backwards. It's a 25% reduction in REVENUE. That's guaranteed to be a significantly higher hit to profits, likely making the product loss-making.

Bro do you even capitalise? Revenue would increase as more people want luxury speakers and they'd take out expensive credit agreements to spread the payments. Cogito ergo sum there would be an increase in profits probably.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:42 
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I can't tell at what point Myp segued from "saying dumb things" to "saying trolling things", but I'm sure the "claiming he was trolling all along" phase is coming soon.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:44 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
I can't tell at what point Myp segued from "saying dumb things" to "saying trolling things", but I'm sure the "claiming he was trolling all along" phase is coming soon.

Now you'll never know.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 13:58 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
LewieP wrote:
I've forgotten where we're up to now, what possible ways are there that article 50 could not be triggered should May want to go ahead and do it?

House of Lords amendments to the A50 bill, but I suspect sabre-rattling from the Commons about reform plus a lack of numbers in the upper House will ultimately defeat that. After that, nothing, I think.


A50 is quite clear that you just fall out if no stay of execution can be agreed. There's a court case in Ireland that's hoping to get a referral to the European Court on whether it's irrevocable or not. Our Supreme Court didn't touch the issue in the recent case because both sides agreed it was.

The most likely outcome would be a political fudge, in the best EU tradition.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 20:28 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
I can't tell at what point Myp segued from "saying dumb things" to "saying trolling things", but I'm sure the "claiming he was trolling all along" phase is coming soon.


I think it was somewhere around post 12,000.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 21:29 
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Joans wrote:
Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
I can't tell at what point Myp segued from "saying dumb things" to "saying trolling things", but I'm sure the "claiming he was trolling all along" phase is coming soon.


I think it was somewhere around post 12,000.

It was such a transparent attempt to get me to admit I was trolling. I did not fall for it.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2017 23:25 
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That ship sailed so long ago that it hadn't even researched optics yet.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 9:15 
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Joans wrote:
Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
I can't tell at what point Myp segued from "saying dumb things" to "saying trolling things", but I'm sure the "claiming he was trolling all along" phase is coming soon.

I think it was somewhere around post 12,000.

...on WoS.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 3:36 
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Can you dig it?

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Grim... wrote:
Right?

We had about two kilowatts, I think. Maybe a little more. The stuff we had didn't have an amazing SPL, but it was on the better end of the range.
We wired it all up to the disco bus once. We didn't do it again.


I have been meaning to ask about this. I'd like to hear more about the time you set up disco-gear in a minibus.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 11:50 
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The SuperVengaBus already has a sweet head unit and a bass bin in the back (why not, with all that room?), so we used a combination of a big chunky inverter and existing 12V amplifiers to plug in all our disco speakers for a long trip to a gig near Hunstanton (the one which Anneka Rice was at, if I've mentioned that maybe before perhaps).

We turned it on, it all worked well. We turned it up, and the combination of WALL OF SOUND and the Christmas tree of warning lights on the dashboard made us think that maybe it wasn't the best idea in the world.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:16 
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NOOB QUESTION: would the heavy draw of all that kit run the battery down, even with the engine running?


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:18 
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Yes. The alternator only charges at a certain rate (it varies wildly depending on the vehicle).

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:20 
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That's why in campers and RVs you should have a leisure battery.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:20 
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Hence the warning lights, I guess?


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:34 
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DavPaz wrote:
Hence the warning lights, I guess?

Actually, probably not.
Electronics on modern (ie 1995 and onward) cars can behave really oddly if the voltage suddenly drops.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:36 
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Unpossible!

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Grim... wrote:
DavPaz wrote:
Hence the warning lights, I guess?

Actually, probably not.
Electronics on modern (ie 1995 and onward) cars can behave really oddly if the voltage suddenly drops.

Computers in general are not fans of inconsistent power.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Thu Feb 16, 2017 12:47 
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“The sovereignty of Parliament is a fundamental principle of the UK constitution. Whilst Parliament has remained sovereign throughout our membership of the EU, it has not always felt like that.”

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/ ... CMP=twt_gu

Quote:
Microsoft has increased the price of its Surface and Surface Book computers in the UK by more than 15%, or £400 for some models, due to sterling’s drop in the value post-EU referendum.
...
From the Microsoft Store, the Surface Book now starts at £1,449, up £150 and 11.5% from £1,299 a week ago, while the top-end Surface Book now costs £400 more. While the starting price of the Surface Pro 4 remains at its original £749 mark, some models are up to £160 more expensive.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Thu Feb 16, 2017 12:50 
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Reals not feels
Reals not feels
Reals not feels
Reals not feels
Reals not feels
Reals not feels
Reals not feels
Reals not feels
Reals not feels

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Thu Feb 16, 2017 12:55 
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And more seriously, UK inflation is creeping up because of food and (predominantly) petrol being more expensive. So far it's very small, though.

Thanks to our "broken housing market", there's a lot of people mortgaged to the absolute hilt. I wonder how far inflation can rise before triggering significant numbers of repossessions.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Thu Feb 16, 2017 12:57 
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Gogmagog

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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
And more seriously, UK inflation is creeping up because of food and (predominantly) petrol being more expensive. So far it's very small, though.

Thanks to our "broken housing market", there's a lot of people mortgaged to the absolute hilt. I wonder how far inflation can rise before triggering significant numbers of repossessions.


There was an article in Grdauird about car finances being lossibly tne next consumer bomb to go off.

I don't think we've seen the last of food price increases yet.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 13:26 
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Just read the transcript of Mr Blair's speech (Speccie link).

Agree with much of it, and it's a shame that too many people will look at the messenger rather than the message. Will probably review it again later.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 13:28 
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Tony Blair telling people to 'rise up' against Brexit when one million people rose up against the Iraq War and made no difference is just too much for me to take.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 14:04 
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Quote:
Agree with much of it, and it's a shame that too many people will look at the messenger rather than the message. Will probably review it again later.


Very surprised he bothered with this, last thing I read on him was that he was backing out of a return to politics as he felt the fact he was so unpopular would hinder anything he tried to do.

Looks time some time away has thickened his skin :)


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 14:05 
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Kern wrote:
it's a shame that too many people will look at the messenger rather than the message.

...
Lonewolves wrote:
Tony Blair telling people to 'rise up' against Brexit when one million people rose up against the Iraq War and made no difference is just too much for me to take.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 14:06 
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Mr Dave wrote:
Kern wrote:
it's a shame that too many people will look at the messenger rather than the message.

...
Lonewolves wrote:
Tony Blair telling people to 'rise up' against Brexit when one million people rose up against the Iraq War and made no difference is just too much for me to take.

It's counter-productive though, as asfish has said. He is deeply unpopular with much of the country. He is the last person we need standing up for the Remain side.

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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 14:08 
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Can't blame him for looking for a fresh challenge after achieving his goal of peace in the middle east.


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 Post subject: Re: Taking the Brexit
PostPosted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 14:10 
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Other than Ken Clarke, are there any other senior politicians making newsworthy speeches on this?

I didn't expect Mrs May to go full throttle on a complete, hard, burn the bridges exit: the result really suggested to me that something akin to being in the EEA and getting navy passports was about all that was politically possible but then I underestimated both the drive in the Tory party for a complete extrication and the utter uselessness of the opposition.


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