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How do you feel about Britain leaving the EU?
1) I want the UK out of the EU at all costs. 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
2) I want out of the EU, unless there is some show stopper that means we should stay in. 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
3) I want out of the EU, but could easily be persuaded to stay in. 2%  2%  [ 1 ]
4) Not sure if we should stay in or out. 8%  8%  [ 3 ]
5) I want to stay in the EU, but could easily be persuaded to leave. 2%  2%  [ 1 ]
6) I want to stay in the EU, unless there is a showstopper that means we should leave. 59%  59%  [ 22 ]
7) I want the UK to stay in the EU at all costs. 27%  27%  [ 10 ]
Total votes : 37
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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 15:05 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
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I heard similar arguments being used during the Scottish Indyref and I told all the Yessers that they'd lose - and by some margin - then too, for much the same reasons. History, as ever, has a habit of repeating itself. Hold your nerve.
That's a decent point (which the author of the piece I quote mentioned but did not counter, to my mind.) There are strong parallels to the indyref.

Possible counter the article touches on: the Murdoch papers did not back the indyref, but they are backing Leave. And the Murdoch papers haven't been wrong about this sort of thing very often at all (you can argue which way around cause and effect is, there, of course.)


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 15:09 
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Heh. Well, let's just say I disagree.
Like I say, we don't have long to wait.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 15:11 
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To be clear, I hope you're right, and I don't know you're wrong. I don't know which way this is going to go.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 15:12 
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I have a deep worry we'll be out as this approaches, because I think the polling will cover some shy Brexiters as it often covers the shy Tory vote.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 15:20 
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Mimi wrote:
I have a deep worry we'll be out as this approaches, because I think the polling will cover some shy Brexiters as it often covers the shy Tory vote.

I'd say being a Bremainer is a less populist position. I don't know which way this is going to go but I'd expect more shy Bremainers than Brexiteers.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 15:27 
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I don't know... I think the shyness comes more from self-interest and greed/fear than the populist opinion, which would be more applicable to the Tory/Leave similarity... But it's difficult to try and see it from the other position, so it's difficult to even guess at.

Did Downjng street open the vote registration back up after the site crash, does anyone know? There was talk this morning about extending the deadline.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 15:31 
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Mimi wrote:
I don't know... I think the shyness comes more from self-interest and greed/fear than the populist opinion, which would be more applicable to the Tory/Leave similarity... But it's difficult to try and see it from the other position, so it's difficult to even guess at.


The common confusing of the EU (a political entity) with Europe (a geographical one), and assuming that to be anti the former makes one anti the latter probably increases the shyness of some Brexiteers I know as they don't want to be tarred with being xenophobes or little Englanders.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:08 
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Not a left/right thing eh? :insincere:


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:13 
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good crayon work there...

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:18 
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It must be a fake, surely. SURELY.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:21 
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With what sign? Ramen? Was it a noodle vendor?

When I see things like that I'm never sure if they are real, it just looks too stupid... Nobody is that stupid, right? Right?

And of course, that persons far right/leave preference does not mean a correlation between the two positions for everyone. I think the right have a stronger leave tendency, but there are going to be all sorts of position crossovers.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:22 
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I think so. It looks like a clumsy attempt at equating Brexiters with Nazis.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:23 
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Mimi wrote:
I think so. It looks like a clumsy attempt at equating Brexiters with Nazis.

It was purported to have been left on a car windscreen in NW London.

"Hi Hitler" though. :DD

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:23 
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If it were more subtly done I'd be more convinced.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:26 
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NW London. If you're a racist in NW London you've given yourself a rough patch of ground to hate people from other races. Brent is NW London. It's the most racially diverse place in Europe. There are unlikely to be any 'leave' areas in NW London of all places.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:32 
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Unpossible!

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But... Hitler was all for Britain being part of a united Europe


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:33 
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Mimi wrote:
NW London. If you're a racist in NW London you've given yourself a rough patch of ground to hate people from other races. Brent is NW London. It's the most racially diverse place in Europe. There are unlikely to be any 'leave' areas in NW London of all places.

Yeah, I've found the original Facebook post and he hasn't given any indication it's not real (found on a friend's windscreen in NW3 allegedly), but it seems unlikely to be true for the reasons you've stated.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:35 
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I've certainly seen real Swastikas drawn that badly in earnest, so that's not unreasonable.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:37 
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Squirt wrote:
I've certainly seen real Swastikas drawn that badly in earnest, so that's not unreasonable.

The second one looks like it's shrugging.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:40 
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Lonewolves wrote:
Not a left/right thing eh? :insincere:


What, we're going to draw ANY conclusions whatsoever from ONE illiterate nutball's scrawly little note? (That's probably a fake btw)
I don't think so.
Are you even being serious?

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:43 
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Is "WHITE DoNER" a kebab btw?

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 16:45 
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Cavey wrote:
Is "WHITE DoNER" a kebab btw?


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 17:17 
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YouGov asked people to rate their likelihood of voting, on a scale of 1-10. Here's the proportions of people who answer 10/10 ie. they are certain to leave, grouped by age demographic.

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Urk.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 17:28 
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To be fair, this is also a VOTE LAVE area.

He missed a trick with 'Hi Titler' though.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 18:26 
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:DD

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 19:29 
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Cavey wrote:
Lonewolves wrote:
Not a left/right thing eh? :insincere:


What, we're going to draw ANY conclusions whatsoever from ONE illiterate nutball's scrawly little note? (That's probably a fake btw)
I don't think so.
Are you even being serious?

Deadly serious. It proves that Leavers are literal Nazis.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 19:31 
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Meh. I really can't tell when you're being serious or not. :)

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 19:33 
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Cavey wrote:
Meh. I really can't tell when you're being serious or not. :)

I sometimes wonder myself.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 20:11 
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Cavey wrote:
Meh. I really can't tell when you're being serious or not. :)

A guide to telling how serious Myp is:

The more naked he is, the more serious he is.

Personally, I'm happy when he's at his least serious.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2016 20:43 
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Lonewolves wrote:
Cavey wrote:
Lonewolves wrote:
Not a left/right thing eh? :insincere:


What, we're going to draw ANY conclusions whatsoever from ONE illiterate nutball's scrawly little note? (That's probably a fake btw)
I don't think so.
Are you even being serious?

Deadly serious. It proves that Leavers are literal Nazis.

Speaking seriously, I don't think it inaccurate to describe Farage and UKIP as the modern heirs of Oswald Moseley and British Union of Fascists, or even the late '70s National Front.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:22 
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Master of dodgy spelling....

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this was sent to me by an angry friend.

That is part of the issue too many mis truths being told"

NO SHIT SHERLOCK....... WTF! DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!!!!!

.....and then tell your left wing, tripe peddling, do good mates to wake up and smell the coffee.

These 'friends' sound like they are not capable of abstract thought never mind doing simple research, rather than taking on board all the scaremongering, BS, FUD and propaganda by the stay camp - who essentially are being paid or funded by the EU in one form another.

You also mentioned 10 years to sort this out. Seriously, what drugs have you been taking? This will be done and dusted within 2, tops. The people of Europe need us to exit as a wake up call to tear down the self serving bureaucratic mess that the EU is right now and hopefully re-build something that is useful and meaningful to all European citizens. My view - the EU should be a simple but comprehensive set of trading agreements NOT a federal state. The federal state aspect is a political experiment executed by political elites that needs to be STOPPED dead in its tracks. This is the one and only opportunity to do that.

As I have also said before...... What European companies do you expect to stop selling their products here in the UK? My reckoning - NONE! Why? Simple, the UK is too lucrative a market to ignore or mess around with - period. If 'they' want to punish us - I'm fine with that. Lets see how European (German, French, Swedish) car manufacturers respond to 200% import duty when their respective governments give the UK trading agreements the runaround. Trading maybe 'rocky' for a short period, but we need trade negotiators to have balls and a backbone, in pretty short order trading will be good. If that is not the case, there are a lot of European companies that will take a massive hit to their bottom lines. What do you think they will do....? Lobby their respective Governments to get their shit together regarding trade with the UK sorted amicably PDQ.

Look around at other 'European' news and the level of dis-satisfaction with the EU...... It is not just us that are really pissed off with what EU membership demands and offers, its literally the population of every 'wealthy' country in the EU. Note, not the good for nothing elitist politicians, but the actual PEOPLE of these countries....... What does that tell you?

It should tell you that the EU is terribly broken and it is time for significant change - the only way to get that is to vote out.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:27 
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Cavey does peddle a lot of tripe, that bit is true.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:37 
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KovacsC wrote:
Look around at other 'European' news and the level of dis-satisfaction with the EU...... It is not just us that are really pissed off with what EU membership demands and offers, its literally the population of every 'wealthy' country in the EU. Note, not the good for nothing elitist politicians, but the actual PEOPLE of these countries....... What does that tell you?


That's funny because I've spoken to lots of people in lots of other EU countries, as well as countries not in the EU but involved in trade deals or w/e, and they all think we're mad. :D

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:41 
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Quote:
The people of Europe need us to exit as a wake up call to tear down the self serving bureaucratic mess that the EU is right now and hopefully re-build something that is useful and meaningful to all European citizens

This won't happen. We'll just leave and everyone else will carry on regardless. And we'll have no say anymore. And in order to stay as part of the single market we'll still have to keep paying in.

Interesting that despite not being part of the EU, Norway and Switzerland have more immigration from EU countries than we do.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:03 
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That rant just has no basis in anything resembling facts.

It's exactly like all the people living in the past, assuming that a couple of brand names they can remember mean that we are genuinely a bigger force in world trade than the rest of Europe combined.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:09 
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We should leave the EU, call back in the Commonwealth countries, then invade Aquitaine.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:11 
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Lonewolves wrote:
Cavey does peddle a lot of tripe, that bit is true.


:D

You do realise I'm Remain, right? :D

Edit oh Soz, got it now. Come the revolution, Comrades! /clenches left fist

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:13 
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I do wonder who the sole leave person in the vote is.

I reckon it's Myp. The colossal far right racist that he is.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:15 
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Mr Dave wrote:
I do wonder who the sole leave person in the vote is.

I reckon it's Myp. The colossal far right racist that he is.


Yeah Myp is TOTALLY a plant; I recognised that handwriting on that note straight away. Busted mate. :D

Funny how he brought it up eh!!!!11

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:24 
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Cavey wrote:
Come the revolution, Comrades! /clenches left fist

The revolution of...the status quo. :DD

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:34 
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"WHAT DO WE WANT???"

"um, the same as now"


"WHEN DO WE WANT IT?"


"now would be most convienient, if that's okay with everyone? kthanksbye"

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:37 
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I mean, obviously I don't want the status quo - I want EU reform. But you can't do that by taking your ball and going home.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:39 
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Damn, thought that was worth a smiley. :'(
/sulks

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:44 
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Cavey wrote:
Damn, thought that was worth a smiley. :'(
/sulks

I did smile IRL if that helps.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 11:39 
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Cavey wrote:
"WHAT DO WE WANT???"

"um, the same as now"


"WHEN DO WE WANT IT?"


"now would be most convienient, if that's okay with everyone? kthanksbye"

:)


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 11:43 
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Lonewolves wrote:
Cavey wrote:
Come the revolution, Comrades! /clenches left fist

The revolution of...the status quo. :DD


I remember reading somewhere that until the French stormed the Bastille, the traditional meaning of 'revolution' was a return to the normal ordering of things as opposed to the overturning of society. Think of people being strapped to Fortune's Wheel, currently at the bottom being revolved to the top.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 11:47 
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@DavPaz

Aw, cheers man. :p

Anyone see the Andrew Neil interview of Osborne last night?
I saw some of it; thought Osborne handled it reasonably well (apart from the cringey 'I've brought along an Airbus widget with me to show it's all about real jobs and real people' bit). By contrast, I thought Neil was a hectoring bellend whose various blatent attempts to embarrass and ambush Osborne fell largely flat, and made him look a nasty twat. He's not actually interested in the answers people give to his questions (that's when he even gives them an opportunity to answer). Tough interviews can be great, but he ain't no Paxo or Humphries, that's for sure.

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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 11:49 
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ITV are having a bunfight debate from 20:00 tonight. Probably with Ant and Dec.


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 11, 2016 8:47 
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I definitely feel country can be trusted to make an informed decision!


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 Post subject: Re: EU in or out?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 11, 2016 9:16 
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How have you been doing your homework on this?

I've polished off Pinder & Usherwood's 'The European Union: a very short introduction', David Charter's 'Europe In or Out', Dan Hannan's 'Why vote leave', and got drunk in three major EU capitals (four if you include London; six if you include Edinburgh and Truro).

But I'm increasingly realising that the decision, for me, is going to be a contest between several competing values.


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