Joans wrote:
The mafia have had a failed bandwagon before, and wanted to try and get it going again today (they probably won't now the message is out).
And this. This adds up.
Gilly wrote:
There wasn't really a bandwagon for anyone. Although, could it refer to another day?
I think it's pretty clear that it does refer to another day.
Alarm wrote:
Joans wrote:
Ok conspiracy nuts, time to go wild.
I'm still alive, I haven't been recruited, I investigated Trooper last night and he's a townie.
Yay for (somehow!) surviving the night. I find it hard to believe that you haven't been recruited, though.
I don't. Not only would the carnies not know if they'd even be able to recruit him, but they do know he's a prime target for a mafia hit. I would say it's far more likely that they went for Kovacs or me. They didn't get me (or something stopped them), so I'd imagine they got Kov, however I don't expect anyone to believe that, and even if they do, I don't think that the carnies are the bigger threat right now, although if we can somehow get the leader, that would be a great result.
Basically, I think Joans is on the level, but will cark it sooner or later, the mafia are going after the cult leader, and you should assume Kovacs and/or I are are carnies.
I am quite surprised that nobody has pointed this out.
Alarm wrote:
My thoughts:
Joans - probable carney recruit
Trooper - probably mafioso or possibly head carney
If he's mafia, why on earth would Joans say he's a townie? Even if Joans is in the cult, he would want the mafia dead more than anything.
Quote:
sinister agent - carney or mafioso
Sorry, what? How could I possibly be mafia? The only way is if Joans is lying.
Quote:
KovacsC - townie
And how come Kovacs escapes suspicion, when the reason he might be a carnie is the same reason I might be, and in fact it's statistically more likely that he is since Joans investigated him first?
Joans wrote:
Let's think about this. At the moment, we can only lynch, the carnies can recruit and the mafia can kill.
It's in the mafia's best interests to kill carnies, so, dear mafia people, tonight, you should probably look at Kovacs or Sinister, as it's a reasonable assumption both of those will have been recruited by tonight (unless, of course, you want to kill me, which I suppose would be understandable).
OH MY GOD, frickin' FINALLY. Yes, this is sensible. Annoying as piss for me, but sensible.
I'd advise against lynching Kovacs or I. First, it's 50:50 on which of us they'd have gone for last night (if they went for us at all, and hadn't already got one/both of us), and second, they'd just get the other one the next day, so their numbers will remain steady while ours dwindle. We have to take out the carny leader and the mafia, not the mooks.
For what it's worth, I suspect Malc, Alarm, and Lacesensor. The first two for dodgy claims and logic, and the third for not really saying very much and a hunch. But Zaphod is also vaguely concerning me.
I suspect APOD's box thing exhonorates him somewhat. Until tonight, anyway. Although it could be a thing the Carnies did instead of recruiting, I suppose, but I think that's unlikely as they've no reason to share the info.
I want to know whether Malc is mafia or carny. I think he must be one of the two. Which one he turns out to be (remember he claimed he was locked in last night) will reveal a lot if we look carefully. I'm hoping he's the leader.
[vote:malc]
Joans wrote:
"Need a real reason to push for <crackle> again tomorrow if Craster is lynched beacuse we couldn't get it moving last time...I'm pretty sure shes not one of them...Leave the detective for tonight and we'll hope that she is carnie"
Can we have some opinions on who is being referred to here please?
I think it's talking about Gilly on day two. Trooper voted for her, and then Malc and Russ jumped on quickly. I also voted, but she then talked me out of it, and Trooper unvoted.