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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2014 11:39 
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Considering he was born in Welling, I would expect he has solely British citizenship, so to withdraw it would leave him stateless, which is not permitted as per your quote.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2014 11:40 
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Cras wrote:
Considering he was born in Welling, I would expect he has solely British citizenship, so to withdraw it would leave him stateless, which is not permitted as per your quote.


Pity.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2014 11:41 
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Potentially so, but I can see why you can't have someone who's not permitted residency in any country. Unless it's Tom Hanks.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2014 11:46 
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Cras wrote:
Potentially so, but I can see why you can't have someone who's not permitted residency in any country. Unless it's Tom Hanks.


Potentially so...? Crikey, that's one high bar you've got there, man. Begrudgingly have to agree with you though; the civilised "we" can't just leave people stateless, however odious and malign to us all they might be. :(

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2014 11:49 
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Cavey wrote:
Cras wrote:
Potentially so, but I can see why you can't have someone who's not permitted residency in any country. Unless it's Tom Hanks.


Potentially so...? Crikey, that's one high bar you've got there, man. Begrudgingly have to agree with you though; the civilised "we" can't just leave people stateless, however odious and malign to us all they might be. :(


Only 45% of them

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2014 12:08 
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MaliA wrote:
Cavey wrote:
Cras wrote:
Potentially so, but I can see why you can't have someone who's not permitted residency in any country. Unless it's Tom Hanks.


Potentially so...? Crikey, that's one high bar you've got there, man. Begrudgingly have to agree with you though; the civilised "we" can't just leave people stateless, however odious and malign to us all they might be. :(


Only 45% of them


Heh. :D
(Actually it's a mere 37%, in terms of those who actually voted)

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sun Sep 28, 2014 11:04 
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Not a good weekend for Mr Cameron , another conservative MP jumped ship for UKIP and a minister has resigned after sending a picture of (probably) his knob to a undercover female reporter!


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sun Sep 28, 2014 13:02 
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I was annoyed this morning when I saw Nigel Farage talking about the latest war in the Middle East, and him actually making some decent points that I agree with.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Wed Oct 01, 2014 10:14 
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Well you have to say that UKIP are surely shaking shit up. People are whispering about the next coalition featuring UKIP, with Con/Kip favoured. Mind you they also honked very loudly about Cleggmania and that transpired to nothing.

That seems bonkers, although the ease at which Tory supporters feel able to flip shows an overlap in perceived political sentiment.

I often think Tories are confused about what they think their party represents, so when the dodgy ones let slip a particularly bigoted remark they're surprised when they come under criticism. UKIP must seem like an increasingly credible alternative where their particulars views can be aired to the cheers of others.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Wed Oct 01, 2014 15:18 
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Clegg is Deputy PM, which from a prior position of being a small minority party is a major success.

If Farage manages the same then it would be success beyond his wildest dreams.

That said, as much as I hate Farage, and I really do hate him, he has had the best take on the latest WAR ON ISIS from any political leader I've seen. Ugh. Hate agreeing with him!

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:49 
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A UKIP MP then. I was inevitable I guess. So sick of seeing all these right wing fuck faces all over the media these days, whether it's UKIP or the fucking Tories promising that it's safe for racists to vote for them because they are some despicable cunts too just like UKIP. Just make it all stop.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:00 
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markg wrote:
A UKIP MP then. I was inevitable I guess. So sick of seeing all these right wing fuck faces all over the media these days, whether it's UKIP or the fucking Tories promising that it's safe for racists to vote for them because they are some despicable cunts too just like UKIP. Just make it all stop.


It's not going to stop though, Mark. In fact, the Right is building up a massive head of steam, seems to me.

I'm not rejoicing the success of UKIP, but have to be honest here - I welcome this embrace of the Right generally. I suppose people are waking up to the fact that, despite all the left wing naysayers foretelling doom as a result of austerity (including plenty on here), the UK economy is now steaming ahead now with 4% annual growth coupled with very low inflation, while others remain in the doldrums; tax cuts are on the horizon now for aspirational earners on £40k a year (hardly 'the rich', but ordinary hardworking professional people with mortgages to pay).

What with the defeat and rejection of the Scottish Nationalists and their pie-in-the-sky socialist utopia, I've never been more optimistic about the unfolding political landscape of this country? At this rate, we could even now be at the eve of our regeneration as a great economic power, especially if the Tories win the next GE with an outright parliamentary majority. Which, incidentally, I now fully expect them so to do - incredibly, they're already ahead in the opinion polls just a few years from taking over from Labour economic meltdown.

For me, then, happy days. Socialism, and even 'social democracy' (Socialism-lite) is well and truly dead, at least in the UK.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:31 
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Margate isn't quite the story here either. A somewhat unique constituency, with a sitting MP resigning his seat to give rise to a by election. On that point, Kudos to UKIP where it is due - they didn't need to do this, but it does mean that the gamble that they took here gives them significantly more credibility for winning in an open contest, rather than switching the seat.

The bigger story is the Heywood seat, where a sitting Labour MP died (the official opposition, in a safe seat, in a by election 9 months before a General election). Any historical statistics say that should have been an increased majority (Sympathy, dissatisfaction with government) and it went to a recount. If this was 12 months ago as opposed to today, I don't think Milliband would have survived that.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:38 
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ApplePieOfDestiny wrote:
Margate isn't quite the story here either. A somewhat unique constituency, with a sitting MP resigning his seat to give rise to a by election. On that point, Kudos to UKIP where it is due - they didn't need to do this, but it does mean that the gamble that they took here gives them significantly more credibility for winning in an open contest, rather than switching the seat.

The bigger story is the Heywood seat, where a sitting Labour MP died (the official opposition, in a safe seat, in a by election 9 months before a General election). Any historical statistics say that should have been an increased majority (Sympathy, dissatisfaction with government) and it went to a recount. If this was 12 months ago as opposed to today, I don't think Milliband would have survived that.


I totally agree; very good point mate. Totally unprecedented and surely as good an indicator as you'll find for the public's rejection of these politics. Finally and not before time.

Labour are finished in my view.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 9:21 
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The big parties must surely wake up now, UKIP came close to winning a Labour seat.

Starting to show that the EU votes for UKIP were not just protest "waste" votes.

UKIP doesn't have many policies and there is a odious element to the party, but there is no denying for some reason Farrage come across as a decent bloke supporting the man in the street to many people.

I would never want them in power, but what they are doing is kicking the 3 main parties into waking up and seeing that there are millions of people affected by what they do that don't live in central London. That in its self is a good thing, just hope support doesn't go so far as to give them a lot of power at the next general election.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 9:28 
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Fuck that. They are winning votes by appealing to simpletons with horrible views. The main two parties should not be pandering to that bullshit and shame on the Tories for doing so.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 9:33 
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UKIP, like the Greens (who already have an MP) and the SNP, are appealing to those dissatsified with the majors. Mostly it is a protest vote, but it also represents an underlying unhappiness with the system and a sense that Westminster is a cosy club.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:11 
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markg wrote:
Fuck that. They are winning votes by appealing to simpletons with horrible views. The main two parties should not be pandering to that bullshit and shame on the Tories for doing so.


They don't have a lot of choice, UKIP are winning seats and they at least need to look at why that is happening, you don't get a seat in parliament from the votes of simpletons with horrible views alone!


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:12 
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They've gone from 3% to 39% support (according to the BBC this morning) in the Heywood by election. That's a serious issue that needs to be addressed, it can't be brushed under the carpet.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:17 
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asfish wrote:
markg wrote:
Fuck that. They are winning votes by appealing to simpletons with horrible views. The main two parties should not be pandering to that bullshit and shame on the Tories for doing so.


They don't have a lot of choice, UKIP are winning seats and they at least need to look at why that is happening, you don't get a seat in parliament from the votes of simpletons with horrible views alone!

Unless you're a labour MP ;)

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:21 
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I think it's a somewhat unique situation. I'm not saying UKIP won't win more seats but Carswell was immensely popular with his constituents. There's a very large extent to which they have gone along with him rather than UKIP as such. Right from the outset he was a shoe-in.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:28 
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markg wrote:
I think it's a somewhat unique situation. I'm not saying UKIP won't win more seats but Carswell was immensely popular with his constituents. There's a very large extent to which they have gone along with him rather than UKIP as such. Right from the outset he was a shoe-in.


As APoD said, it's the other by election that is the real worry.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:43 
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UKIP are succeeding because they are appealing to both Tory and Labour voters.

The anti-immigration stance plays well with a LOT of working class people at the minimum wage end of the scale, who are the people actually affected by immigration.

Farage being a millionaire posh type who will give massive tax cuts to the richest people and go further right than the Tories plays well with the right wing types who dislike Cameron's centrist policies (those that exist) and who hate how the Lib Dems have tempered at least some of their schemes.

I should, in theory, vote Tory. The government's tax plans for the next few years will see me significantly better off... but I find them absolutely abhorrent. I don't want tax breaks. I want the working poor to get them. The current model feeds inequality and celebrates it. I can't vote for that.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:47 
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Cavey wrote:
It's not going to stop though, Mark. In fact, the Right is building up a massive head of steam, seems to me.

You're not in the least concerned about UKIP splitting the right-wing vote and letting Labour claim seats they wouldn't otherwise have won, then? That happened a number of time in the US with the Tea Party, and to my mind the parallels are clear. I imagine there's a few Tory MPs this morning wondering if opposing AV was the smartest move they could have made.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:48 
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Curiosity wrote:
I can't vote for that.


No, no can do.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:52 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Cavey wrote:
It's not going to stop though, Mark. In fact, the Right is building up a massive head of steam, seems to me.

You're not in the least concerned about UKIP splitting the right-wing vote and letting Labour claim seats they wouldn't otherwise have won, then? That happened a number of time in the US with the Tea Party, and to my mind the parallels are clear. I imagine there's a few Tory MPs this morning wondering if opposing AV was the smartest move they could have made.


The positive thing about the Tea Party was that they made incumbents in safe areas worry about their seats. No politician should ever take his position for granted, although it would have been better if it hadn't been up to a bunch of vocal fruitcakes to make them realise this.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 11:26 
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This is quite the result, and I'm not so sold on this MP being such a local character that he could sway quite such a huge majority of people over to UKIP on personality alone.

As others have said, that second seat could easily have been won if the kippers weren't otherwise distracted - perhaps they didn't appreciate the potential to snag the seat from Labour, and that would have been an enormous upset.

I have to say Cavey I don't see this as an unstoppable charge of the right. I don't think very many people identify or are aware of their political leanings on the left-right scale, and I think quite a lot of people are voting UKIP for vastly different reasons. They clearly think they represent their views in some way, but being able to snag votes from Labour voters shows they're appealing to all but the hard left.

It's a fascinating time for politics. I think the odds are very strong for UKIP to become the third party with the Lib-Dems essentially a dead duck. They might retain 20 seats, but I reckon Farage could siphon enough marginal seats from the red and blue to put them up at the same level.

I'm excited for the outcome of the election however it goes.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 11:30 
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You'd have to say that's too close to call right now:

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/voting-intention-2

Although I don't put much faith in polls I don't think they're biased any particular way except perhaps that there might be a lot of ashamed secret UKIP voters out there.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 12:30 
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ApplePieOfDestiny wrote:
Margate isn't quite the story here either. A somewhat unique constituency, with a sitting MP resigning his seat to give rise to a by election. On that point, Kudos to UKIP where it is due - they didn't need to do this, but it does mean that the gamble that they took here gives them significantly more credibility for winning in an open contest, rather than switching the seat.

The bigger story is the Heywood seat, where a sitting Labour MP died (the official opposition, in a safe seat, in a by election 9 months before a General election). Any historical statistics say that should have been an increased majority (Sympathy, dissatisfaction with government) and it went to a recount. If this was 12 months ago as opposed to today, I don't think Milliband would have survived that.


Worth noting that the Labour vote share actually did increase. It was the Tory and Lib Dem vote shares that both completely collapsed, and where the UKIP votes came from.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 13:15 
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And the lib Dems lost their deposit. For 10 th tine since GE. Although I dunno how they did last time, so I might be unfair.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 17:46 
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Grim... wrote:
asfish wrote:
markg wrote:
Fuck that. They are winning votes by appealing to simpletons with horrible views. The main two parties should not be pandering to that bullshit and shame on the Tories for doing so.


They don't have a lot of choice, UKIP are winning seats and they at least need to look at why that is happening, you don't get a seat in parliament from the votes of simpletons with horrible views alone!

Unless you're a labour MP ;)


Heh, indeed. Offhand I can't think of anything more utterly stupid than voting Labour; at least the UKIP voter has got the excuse that their Party hasn't utterly fucked up everything it has ever touched, ever, and without even one single exception. Makes turkeys voting for Christmas look like an intellectual tour de force.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 17:56 
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Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Cavey wrote:
It's not going to stop though, Mark. In fact, the Right is building up a massive head of steam, seems to me.

You're not in the least concerned about UKIP splitting the right-wing vote and letting Labour claim seats they wouldn't otherwise have won, then? That happened a number of time in the US with the Tea Party, and to my mind the parallels are clear. I imagine there's a few Tory MPs this morning wondering if opposing AV was the smartest move they could have made.


I'll concede it's a concern, but there are mitigating factors. For one, opinion polls are already putting the Tories in the lead, even allowing for UKIP, which from my perspective is a double bonus. Obviously it's good that the Tories are leading per se; I can only expect this lead to increase as we head towards GE when the trickle down effects of the now full-blooded, ever strengthening economic recovery make themselves more apparent and pre-GE 'inducements' are no doubt put in place on top.

However, it's also good that the combined right-of-centre and moderate-right vote is so large as well.

Talking to people, my political barometer tells me that some critical mass has been achieved, and the zeitgeist has really moved on, even in 12 months. For me, it's something of a thrill to find myself to the left of that zeitgeist; something that has not happened since the mid to late 1980s! (What it must feel like for you guys must be quite something :D )

There is no question; benefits culture and the like is coming to an end. That might be ugly, unfortunate, but it's a fact. Too many people I know have simply had enough and they don't want to hear any more excuses from the Political Class telling them that they know better. Those days are waning fast.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 18:04 
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If there was a breakthrough new centre-left party that could collapse the Labour vote and steal its throne as the big progressive movement, and make a real opposition to the Tories, I'd vote for it and possibly join it ASAP. Really. Unfortunately there's the matter of FPTP making that impossible. We're never going to get a situation like in Italy last spring when a new opposition party emerged out of nowhere and got a quarter of tjr the vote.

I can see why the SNP gets votes in Scotland - it's a centrist neoliberal party, but at least has some recognisably social-democratic policies amongst that centrism.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 18:30 
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Cavey wrote:
Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Cavey wrote:
It's not going to stop though, Mark. In fact, the Right is building up a massive head of steam, seems to me.

You're not in the least concerned about UKIP splitting the right-wing vote and letting Labour claim seats they wouldn't otherwise have won, then? That happened a number of time in the US with the Tea Party, and to my mind the parallels are clear. I imagine there's a few Tory MPs this morning wondering if opposing AV was the smartest move they could have made.


I'll concede it's a concern, but there are mitigating factors. For one, opinion polls are already putting the Tories in the lead, even allowing for UKIP, which from my perspective is a double bonus. Obviously it's good that the Tories are leading per se; I can only expect this lead to increase as we head towards GE when the trickle down effects of the now full-blooded, ever strengthening economic recovery make themselves more apparent and pre-GE 'inducements' are no doubt put in place on top.

However, it's also good that the combined right-of-centre and moderate-right vote is so large as well.

Talking to people, my political barometer tells me that some critical mass has been achieved, and the zeitgeist has really moved on, even in 12 months. For me, it's something of a thrill to find myself to the left of that zeitgeist; something that has not happened since the mid to late 1980s! (What it must feel like for you guys must be quite something :D )

There is no question; benefits culture and the like is coming to an end. That might be ugly, unfortunate, but it's a fact. Too many people I know have simply had enough and they don't want to hear any more excuses from the Political Class telling them that they know better. Those days are waning fast.

One opinion poll has shown them ahead after Cameron announced his tax break and then they immediately fell behind again. Maybe hold off on your Daily Mail wankfest for a bit.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 18:38 
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markg wrote:
Cavey wrote:
Doctor Glyndwr wrote:
Cavey wrote:
It's not going to stop though, Mark. In fact, the Right is building up a massive head of steam, seems to me.

You're not in the least concerned about UKIP splitting the right-wing vote and letting Labour claim seats they wouldn't otherwise have won, then? That happened a number of time in the US with the Tea Party, and to my mind the parallels are clear. I imagine there's a few Tory MPs this morning wondering if opposing AV was the smartest move they could have made.


I'll concede it's a concern, but there are mitigating factors. For one, opinion polls are already putting the Tories in the lead, even allowing for UKIP, which from my perspective is a double bonus. Obviously it's good that the Tories are leading per se; I can only expect this lead to increase as we head towards GE when the trickle down effects of the now full-blooded, ever strengthening economic recovery make themselves more apparent and pre-GE 'inducements' are no doubt put in place on top.

However, it's also good that the combined right-of-centre and moderate-right vote is so large as well.

Talking to people, my political barometer tells me that some critical mass has been achieved, and the zeitgeist has really moved on, even in 12 months. For me, it's something of a thrill to find myself to the left of that zeitgeist; something that has not happened since the mid to late 1980s! (What it must feel like for you guys must be quite something :D )

There is no question; benefits culture and the like is coming to an end. That might be ugly, unfortunate, but it's a fact. Too many people I know have simply had enough and they don't want to hear any more excuses from the Political Class telling them that they know better. Those days are waning fast.

One opinion poll has shown them ahead after Cameron announced his tax break and then they immediately fell behind again. Maybe hold off on your Daily Mail wankfest for a bit.


I've had just about enough of your going off on one at me. I've been very polite in our exchanges (despite your ludicrous views), but all I get in return is teenage strops and perpetual failure on your part to even try to engage, or move so much as one millimetre.

Fuck off. Seriously.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 18:39 
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You want to listen to yourself sometimes, you massive fucking twat.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 18:41 
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markg wrote:
You want to listen to yourself sometimes, you massive fucking twat.


Refer to my earlier post; take your abuse and schoolboy politics with you (and please don't derail this thread).
Thanks in advance.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 18:49 
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Hello Hello Hello

Joined: 11th May, 2008
Posts: 13382
Sorry Cavey but I must say that whilst I do have the utmost respect for you and always have, your recent comments to this thread are absolutely stretching that to breaking point, and I'm finding those comments borderline repugnant, if I'm honest.

I wouldn't agree with the invective used by markg but I can understand and sympathise with his absolute 'what the fuck?' reaction to some of the bile and triumphalist vitriol you're spewing.

To suggest that the Labour party have 'fucked up everything they've ever touched' is to deny both history and human decency.

I know there's no point whatsoever in suggesting you rein it in a bit, but from where I'm standing you're not doing yourself any favours.

Here's a different point of view.

Quote:
It is hard to decide what was more repugnant at the Tory Party Conference recently: the sight of a packed auditorium in Birmingham applauding the prime minister's pledge to cut the benefits of 10million families, or the applause that greeted his pledge to scrap human rights legislation.

Trying to fathom the mindset of those who get their jollies at the prospect of reducing millions of their fellow citizens to destitution is quite a challenge. But, nonetheless, if we are to understand the attributes of your average Tory, it is one that has to be taken on. In this regard the legendary words of Nye Bevan in 1948 have yet to be bettered. Bevan asserted that:

no amount of cajolery, and no attempts at ethical or social seduction, can eradicate from my heart a deep burning hatred for the Tory Party that inflicted those bitter experiences on me. So far as I am concerned they are lower than vermin.

The 'bitter experiences' the former Labour minister for health recounts were rooted in a poverty stricken childhood in South Wales, when working class families such as his lived a precarious existence on the precipice of disaster and destitution without an NHS or welfare state to protect them. Those things arrived in Britain courtesy of the 1945 Labour government, of which he was a key member, and in 2014 are in the process of being rolled back.


http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/john-wi ... 37980.html


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 18:55 
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I'm just coming off a train now to Mrs C mate but c'mon you know me. I write in mildly polemic terms; I'm not a UKIP supporter and didn't even vote Tory last time ffs. Look carefully at what I've said; it's far more observation than endorsement. As stated I am to the left of this new zeitgeist position.

Anyway, more tomorrow if you're interested. I'll be hungover though :)

Cavey

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 19:13 
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Joined: 26th May, 2008
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Attempt at a constructive reply:

The Tories are probably quite worried about the Tory/Lab marginals. In previous years, it has been accepted that people will vote UKIP in EU election until the cows come home but they'll always return to the fold come the GE. This is looking less and less likely for next May; while there will be some reversion to the Tories, the danger is that the right vote will be split down the middle. Now, Labour does lose core votes to UKIP too, but in the marginals they have two advantages: firstly, the marginals tend not to be Labour heartlands (duh!), so there's fewer votes to lose, and secondly, the Lib Dem collapse heads their direction (in Lib/Con or Lib/Lab marginals, this is not the case, but the Tories aren't so worried about these). I'd say that this puts Labour in a reasonable position for May 2015. If you look at last night's result, I'd be willing to put money that the majority of the Lib Dem vote went to Labour, which masked the drop in the Labour core vote.

(Labour will have to shore up their heartland vote, obviously, but the Tories are in danger as well, as places like Banbury would be somewhat vulnerable to a combined Lib/Lab vote where the Tory vote is depressed by UKIP. Rather unlikely, but they'll still have to play defence just like Labour)


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 19:40 
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Isn't that lovely?

Joined: 30th Mar, 2008
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Who the hell do I vote for?

I will never vote for UKIP, Labour or Conservatives. In the past I have voted for Liberal or Green Party. Which I think will be a lost vote down here (it's going to be UKIP or Conservative in May)

Where does the liberal protest vote go? :(

Malc

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 22:22 
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Sleepyhead

Joined: 30th Mar, 2008
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Malc wrote:
Who the hell do I vote for?

I will never vote for UKIP, Labour or Conservatives. In the past I have voted for Liberal or Green Party. Which I think will be a lost vote down here (it's going to be UKIP or Conservative in May)

Where does the liberal protest vote go? :(

Malc


If it's a protest vote and you want to vote Liberal, then vote Liberal. Or small L liberal, which can be whoever you feel best represents you. If the vote is between UKIP and Tory, but you're not voting for either, then vote for who you want to win.

I'm in a super safe Labour seat, but I'll still vote for who I want to win, even though they won't.

At the end of the day, it's largely symbolic unless you're out there campaigning or espousing your views to the world.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 23:18 
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Unpossible!

Joined: 27th Jun, 2008
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I've got a horrible feeling that there's no such thing as a safe seat anymore


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sat Oct 11, 2014 18:51 
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Cavey wrote:
There is no question; benefits culture and the like is coming to an end.

Half of all welfare state funding in Britain is pensions. Will you be claiming a state pension when you retire, or is that part of "benefits culture" too?


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sat Oct 11, 2014 23:25 
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Hello Hello Hello

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Not to mention the massive amount of benefits that are paid to the working poor because THE MIRACLE OF MODERN CAPITALISM has managed to divine a situation whereby the very few mega-rich at the top make millions/billions whilst the indentured they exploit can scarcely afford to live without government assistance.

Oh yes and don't forget to applaud the Tories for opposing any increase to the already derisory minimum wage, it's anti-business, you see.

Honestly Cavey, you talk about the 'aspirational earners' on £40K or more per year, like all anyone needs to do to earn that sort of wage is to just be an honest and hard worker or something. Do you honestly not understand to how many people that sort of money is utterly and completely beyond their grasp, whatever they do and however they do it, ever?

Yes I earn over that amount, but I wouldn't vote fucking Tory even if it would make me a bit better off, as Curio said here - viewtopic.php?p=837273#p837273

OK, it's Russell Brand, and this isn't an entirely uncritical piece either, but I genuinely believe he believes what he's saying and doing:

http://www.theguardian.com/culture/2014 ... on-despair

Quote:
Caring capitalism was a blip, from 1945 to the end of the 70s, he says: a one-off created by the second world war and the founding of the welfare state. “Capitalism is going to continue to increase inequality. And people are preparing now for what follows capitalism. If people are informed and activated, it will be something that’s more liberal and fair; if they’re not, it will be draconian and terrifying. I think people in power are preparing for the latter. That’s why $4.2bn worth of military equipment has been transferred to local police authorities in America over the last 15 years. Why London authorities are buying water cannons and why Thomas Piketty’s book is causing such a stir.”


http://www.theguardian.com/books/2014/a ... bestseller

Quote:
If he is right, the implications for capitalism are utterly negative: we face a low-growth capitalism, combined with high levels of inequality and low levels of social mobility. If you are not born into wealth to start with, life, for even for the best educated, will be like Jane Eyre without Mr Rochester.

Is Piketty the new Karl Marx? Anybody who has read the latter will know he is not. Marx's critique of capitalism was not about distribution but production: for Marx it was not rising inequality but a breakdown in the profit mechanism that drove the system towards its end. Where Marx saw social relationships – between labour and managers, factory owners and the landed aristocracy – Piketty sees only social categories: wealth and income. Marxist economics lives in a world where the inner tendencies of capitalism are belied by its surface experience. Piketty's world is of concrete historical data only. So the charges of soft Marxism are completely misplaced.

Piketty has, more accurately, placed an unexploded bomb within mainstream, classical economics. If the underlying cause of the 2008 bank catastrophe was falling incomes alongside rising financial wealth then, says Piketty, these were no accident: no product of lax regulation or simple greed. The crisis is the product of the system working normally, and we should expect more.

One of the most compelling chapters is Piketty's discussion of the near-universal rise of what he calls the "social state". The relentless growth in the proportion of national income consumed by the state, spent on universal services, pensions and benefits, he argues, is an irreversible feature of modern capitalism. He notes that redistribution has become a question of "rights to" things – healthcare and pensions – rather than simply a problem of taxation rates. His solution is a specific, progressive tax on private wealth: an exceptional tax on capital, possibly combined with the overt use of inflation.

The policy logic for the left is clear. For much of the 20th century, redistribution was handled through taxes on income. In the 21st century, any party that wants to redistribute would have to confiscate wealth, not just income.

You would expect the Wall Street Journal to dissent, but the power of Piketty's work is that it also challenges the narrative of the centre-left under globalisation, which believed upskilling the workforce, combined with mild redistribution, would promote social justice. This, Piketty demonstrates, is mistaken. All that social democracy and liberalism can produce, with their current policies, is the oligarch's yacht co-existing with the food bank for ever.

Piketty's Capital, unlike Marx's Capital, contains solutions possible on the terrain of capitalism itself: the 15% tax on capital, the 80% tax on high incomes, enforced transparency for all bank transactions, overt use of inflation to redistribute wealth downwards. He calls some of them "utopian" and he is right. It is easier to imagine capitalism collapsing than the elite consenting to them.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sat Oct 11, 2014 23:46 
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Hearthly wrote:
like all anyone needs to do to earn that sort of wage is to just be an honest and hard worker


This is the horrible lie that America seems to have successfully sold most of it's population and it's fucking heart-breaking to see it accepted. There are levels of inequity baked right into our society that means the vast majority of people who come from poor families will never amount to shit no matter how hard they try (and most of them won't even try that hard because the evidence in front of their eyes teaches them not to bother). But you'll always have people who think they 'dragged themselves up by their bootstraps' and use that lie to convince themselves that anyone who isn't well off is just a lazy cunt who hasn't bothered; while ignoring all the actual privilege that has been instrumental in allowing them to arrive where they are. I'm not a stupid guy, but I am where I am in large part because my family could afford me the upbringing and education to reward my intelligence. If I was born in a sink estate the chance of that same set of events happening is near zero.

Prediction: not that I'll be reading it but Cavey will be right back here with some extended bullshit narrative about how terrible his upbringing was and/or how much he had to struggle to get everything he's ever had without once actually taking on board anything I've said.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 0:20 
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Rude Belittler

Joined: 30th Mar, 2008
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However hard the millionaires worked, I bet the guy on the McDonalds counter worked just as hard. You're either born lucky (into wealth and priviledge) or you get lucky (you get random opportunities that pay off well above what you'd expect).


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:51 
SupaMod
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Goodness.

Fuck you, successful people. You don't deserve it.

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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 13:02 
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Rude Belittler

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Successful is the wrong term, because having lots of money is not particularly a reasonable measure of having a successful life. Which is part of the problem, is that too often it is seen as the only measure of someone's success.


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 Post subject: Re: Political Banter and Debate Thread
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 13:07 
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Grim... wrote:
Goodness.

Fuck you, successful people. You don't deserve it.

Nobody succeeds in vacuum. They are educated in public schools, commute on public roads and train tracks, heat their home with power from the public grid, drink water from the public supply, protect themselves from criminals via police paid from the public purse, eat food that's been safety checked by public authorities, call the fire brigade if they have a house fire or a car wreck, go to a hospital if you get sick -- and if you don't live in America, escape without going bankrupt. They work for employers who succeed because they can sell their goods in a regulated economy, recruit educated staff from a pool of workers, and so on and so on. Pulling yourself up by the bootstraps is a myth propagated by successful egomaniacs too self-unaware to recognise the healthy dose of luck that was required for them to get where they are.


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